{"id":42144,"date":"2021-10-19T08:02:40","date_gmt":"2021-10-19T13:02:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/timesandseasons.org\/?p=42144"},"modified":"2025-05-26T06:44:47","modified_gmt":"2025-05-26T12:44:47","slug":"are-latter-day-saint-marriages-more-stable","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/timesandseasons.org\/index.php\/2021\/10\/are-latter-day-saint-marriages-more-stable\/","title":{"rendered":"Are Latter-day Saint Marriages More Stable?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Various researchers have addressed this question with older (pre-2010 data), and have shown that in general Latter-day Saints have lower divorce rates, but what about more recent years?<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The largest (relatively) recent survey of Latter-day Saints is the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pewforum.org\/religious-landscape-study\/\">2014 Pew Religous Landscape Survey<\/a>\u00a0<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">which included 661 Latter-day Saints, allowing for a simple comparison of marital status.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Calculating divorce rates is notoriously difficult and complex, because you don\u2019t really know whether the marriage ended in divorce until it ends in either divorce or death. So, for example, we\u2019re just getting the <em>real<\/em> divorce rate of my grandparent\u2019s generation, but there are shortcuts to getting a number that is close to the real rate without having to wait for the entire generation to die off, and there\u2019s a whole methodological debate about how to do that that takes into account age and complete marital history, including remarriages.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">However, the PRLS allows us to simply identify how many members of the Church identify as divorced. Specifically, they report how many members fit into the categories of married, cohabiting, divorced or separated, widowed, and never married. While this is not going to be as precise as a study using full-fledged divorce rate methods, it\u2019s the best current picture we have about Latter-day Saint divorce.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">I removed the \u201cnever married\u201d individuals from the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pewforum.org\/religious-landscape-study\/marital-status\/\">summary statistics<\/a> that the PRLS reported <\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">so that we\u2019re left with those who had been married at some point. When we do this, Latter-day Saints have a lower percentage divorced (9%) than all of the other religious groups (Catholics [15%], Buddhists [16%], Evangelical Protestants [17%], Historically Black Protestants [30%], Jehovah\u2019s Witnesses [15%], Jews [12%], Mainline Protestants [15%], Muslims [15%], Orthodox Christians [13%], and Unaffiliated [17%]), except for Hindus (7%). Performing a simple proportions comparison test shows that all of the differences between Latter-day Saints and these other groups are significant except for Jews, Hindus, Muslims, and Orthodox Christians. (Those are probably statistical ties with Latter-day Saints because both groups&#8211;us and them&#8211;are small, so it is harder to identify the signal in the noise).\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Consequently, it does look like Latter-day Saints are much less likely to identify as divorced than other major faiths or no faith at all.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">It is plausible that age is playing a factor here; if Latter-day Saints in the sample are younger than others then maybe they just haven\u2019t had enough time to get divorced yet. However, I dipped into the microdata and controlled for age: it barely moves the \u201cLatter-day Saint\u201d divorce effect (for wonks, it reduced the odds ratios from .56 to .55), so the very low Latter-day Saint divorce rate doesn&#8217;t appear to be due to us being younger.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Finally, the data do not allow us to differentiate between first-married and remarried people, so in theory the lower Latter-day Saint divorce numbers may be because Latter-day Saints remarry at a higher rate. Although we may have a higher rate of remarriage, on the face of it I find it unlikely that it would explain all of the difference.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">So yes, given the most current (2014) data available, it does look like members of the Church in the United States are much less likely to be divorced than their non-Latter-day Saint counterparts.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Various researchers have addressed this question with older (pre-2010 data), and have shown that in general Latter-day Saints have lower divorce rates, but what about more recent years? The largest (relatively) recent survey of Latter-day Saints is the 2014 Pew Religous Landscape Survey\u00a0which included 661 Latter-day Saints, allowing for a simple comparison of marital status.\u00a0 Calculating divorce rates is notoriously difficult and complex, because you don\u2019t really know whether the marriage ended in divorce until it ends in either divorce or death. So, for example, we\u2019re just getting the real divorce rate of my grandparent\u2019s generation, but there are shortcuts to getting a number that is close to the real rate without having to wait for the entire generation to die off, and there\u2019s a whole methodological debate about how to do that that takes into account age and complete marital history, including remarriages. However, the PRLS allows us to simply identify how many members of the Church identify as divorced. Specifically, they report how many members fit into the categories of married, cohabiting, divorced or separated, widowed, and never married. While this is not going to be as precise as a study using full-fledged divorce rate methods, it\u2019s the [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10403,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[34],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-42144","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-social-sciences-and-economics"],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/timesandseasons.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/42144","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/timesandseasons.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/timesandseasons.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/timesandseasons.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/10403"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/timesandseasons.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=42144"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/timesandseasons.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/42144\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":50075,"href":"https:\/\/timesandseasons.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/42144\/revisions\/50075"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/timesandseasons.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=42144"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/timesandseasons.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=42144"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/timesandseasons.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=42144"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}